Race Data
See below for the data used to arrive at our Impact Scores for the top Impact candidates. It shows first the measure of Tightness in each race, in the number of rating firms calling it a toss-up, to be augmented by polling data as the primary season unfolds and reliable polls are reported. The Affordability metric, the district’s index against the average Toss-Up district in FEC-reported funds raised, which will also be augmented by reports of Outside Money as it becomes available on OpenSecrets website. These metrics will both be updated regularly as new data emerge up through November 2026.
TOP-RATED IMPACT RACES
TX-28
Henry Cuellar
TIGHTNESS
Currently Rating as Toss-Up: X
| Cook Political Report |
Inside Elections |
Sabato's Crystal Ball |
# of Toss-Up Ratings |
| X | X | 2 |
AFFORDABILITY
Funds raised for 2026 - all candidates; most recent FEC filings
| Repubs 2026 | Dems 2026 | All parties (per FEC) |
% of Average Toss-Up |
| $148,780 | $867,164 | $1,015,944 | 24% |
| IMPACT FOR YOUR $ | 8.21 | ||
OH-01
Greg Landsman
TIGHTNESS
Currently Rating as Toss-Up: X
| Cook Political Report |
Inside Elections |
Sabato's Crystal Ball |
# of Toss-Up Ratings |
| X | X | X | 3 |
AFFORDABILITY
Funds raised for 2026 - all candidates; most recent FEC filings
| Repubs 2026 | Dems 2026 | All parties (per FEC) |
% of Average Toss-Up |
| $820,796 | $1,287,303 | $2,108,099 | 51% |
| IMPACT FOR YOUR $ | 5.93 | ||
AZ-06
JoAnna Mendoza
TIGHTNESS
Currently Rating as Toss-Up: X
| Cook Political Report |
Inside Elections |
Sabato's Crystal Ball |
# of Toss-Up Ratings |
| X | X | X | 3 |
AFFORDABILITY
Funds raised for 2026 - all candidates; most recent FEC filings
| Repubs 2026 | Dems 2026 | All parties (per FEC) |
% of Average Toss-Up |
| $2,925,062 | $1,970,197 | $4,895,259 | 117% |
| IMPACT FOR YOUR $ | 2.56 | ||
PA-10
Janelle Stelson
TIGHTNESS
Currently Rating as Toss-Up: X
| Cook Political Report |
Inside Elections |
Sabato's Crystal Ball |
# of Toss-Up Ratings |
| X | X | 2 |
AFFORDABILITY
Funds raised for 2026 - all candidates; most recent FEC filings
| Repubs 2026 | Dems 2026 | All parties (per FEC) |
% of Average Toss-Up |
| $2,125,405 | $1,314,221 | $3,439,626 | 82% |
| IMPACT FOR YOUR $ | 2.42 | ||
IA-01
Christina Bohannon
TIGHTNESS
Currently Rating as Toss-Up: X
| Cook Political Report |
Inside Elections |
Sabato's Crystal Ball |
# of Toss-Up Ratings |
| X | X | X | 3 |
AFFORDABILITY
Funds raised for 2026 - all candidates; most recent FEC filings
| Repubs 2026 | Dems 2026 | All parties (per FEC) |
% of Average Toss-Up |
| $3,187,335 | $2,315,227 | $5,502,612 | 132% |
| IMPACT FOR YOUR $ | 2.27 | ||
CO-08
Manny Rutinel
TIGHTNESS
Currently Rating as Toss-Up: X
| Cook Political Report |
Inside Elections |
Sabato's Crystal Ball |
# of Toss-Up Ratings |
| X | X | X | 3 |
AFFORDABILITY
Funds raised for 2026 - all candidates; most recent FEC filings
| Repubs 2026 | Dems 2026 | All parties (per FEC) |
% of Average Toss-Up |
| $2,264,140 | $3,357,835 | $5,621,975 | 135% |
| IMPACT FOR YOUR $ | 2.23 | ||
TX-34
Vicente Gonzalez, Jr.
TIGHTNESS
Currently Rating as Toss-Up: X
| Cook Political Report |
Inside Elections |
Sabato's Crystal Ball |
# of Toss-Up Ratings |
| X | X | X | 3 |
AFFORDABILITY
Funds raised for 2026 - all candidates; most recent FEC filings
| Repubs 2026 | Dems 2026 | All parties (per FEC) |
% of Average Toss-Up |
| $2,448,382 | $1,318,272 | $3,766,654 | 90% |
| IMPACT FOR YOUR $ | 2.21 | ||
WI-03
Rebecca Cooke
TIGHTNESS
Currently Rating as Toss-Up: X
| Cook Political Report |
Inside Elections |
Sabato's Crystal Ball |
# of Toss-Up Ratings |
| X | X | 2 |
AFFORDABILITY
Funds raised for 2026 - all candidates; most recent FEC filings
| Repubs 2026 | Dems 2026 | All parties (per FEC) |
% of Average Toss-Up |
| $3,416,605 | $3,178,312 | $6,594,818 | 158% |
| IMPACT FOR YOUR $ | 1.26 | ||
TIGHTNESS
Currently Rating as Toss-Up: X
| Cook Political Report |
Inside Elections |
Sabato's Crystal Ball |
# of Toss-Up Ratings |
| X | X | 2 |
| X | X | X | 3 |
| X | X | X | 3 |
| X | X | 2 |
| X | X | X | 3 |
| X | X | X | 3 |
| X | X | X | 3 |
| X | X | 2 |
AFFORDABILITY
Funds raised for 2026 - all candidates; most recent FEC filings
| Repubs 2026 | Dems 2026 | All parties (per FEC) |
% of Average Toss-Up |
| $148,780 | $867,164 | $1,015,944 | 24% |
| $820,796 | $1,287,303 | $2,108,099 | 51% |
| $2,925,062 | $1,970,197 | $4,895,259 | 117% |
| $2,125,405 | $1,314,221 | $3,439,626 | 82% |
| $3,187,335 | $2,315,227 | $5,502,612 | 132% |
| $2,264,140 | $3,357,835 | $5,621,975 | 135% |
| $2,448,382 | $1,318,272 | $3,766,654 | 90% |
| $3,416,605 | $3,178,312 | $6,594,818 | 158% |
IMPACT SCORE
Impact for your $
| 8.21 |
| 5.93 |
| 2.56 |
| 2.42 |
| 2.27 |
| 2.23 |
| 2.21 |
| 1.26 |